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It's a 'new dawn' for home prices too

The upturn in SA's property market that has been evident since December is now starting to translate into an increase in home price growth, according to Rudi Botha, CEO of BetterBond*, SA's biggest bond originator.

"Our latest statistics show year-on-year growth of 5,3% in the average home price at the end of April, compared to 2,62% in January, 2,85% in February and 2,94% in March," he notes. 

"There is also more buoyancy in the first-time buyers' market, where the year-on-year growth in the average home price was 9,2% at the end of April, compared to 6,6% in January, 7,3% in February and 7,7% in March."

This indicates, that the market is slowly turning in favour of sellers - as is also suggested by the most recent estate agent survey results from First National Bank.

These show that the average time that a property spends on the market before being sold has dropped from around 17 weeks to 14 weeks; that the percentage of sellers being required to drop their price to make a sale has declined from 95% to 91%, and that the percentage by which these sellers are dropping their price has diminished from an average of 10% to 8,2%.

Botha says this turnaround is, however, not only being driven by greater demand but by the fact that a bigger percentage of home loan applications is being approved now as the banks compete for new bond business.

"Indeed, our approval rate has been above 80% for the past four months - which is the highest sustained rate since the 2008/ 09 recession.

"In addition, the percentage of applications being converted to formal grants (and finalised property purchases) has risen from a year-on-year average of 63,4% at the end of last year to 64,6% currently. And this shows that the banks' increased willingness to lend is being underpinned by the fact that the financial position of most bond applicants is better than it was last year."

SA consumers have worked very hard over the past few years to lower their debt, curb spending and save more, he says, and by working with reputable bond originators like BetterBond and obtaining pre-qualification, prospective homebuyers have also become much more informed about what they can afford, with the result that they are more likely to qualify for the home loans they want.

Rising prices, Botha says, will further encourage the banks, "but it is important to realise that the picture is not necessarily uniform across SA and will shift from month-to-month in different areas, so that it can be harder to obtain finance in some regions than in others.

"Our statistics show, for example, an above average year-on-year price growth of 6,8% in the Western Cape at the end of April, and 5,7% in the Eastern Cape, but a year-on-year decline of 2,6% in Gauteng.

"And since the banks may well be inclined to mitigate risk in certain areas at certain times by applying higher interest rates to home loans in those areas, the best course for prospective buyers is always to apply through an originator like BetterBond. We will not only submit their application to several competing banks, including their own, but motivate it individually to ensure that they obtain the best available home loan package at the most favourable interest rate."

*BetterBond is our preferred mortgage originator. Its statistics represent 25% of all residential bonds being registered in the Deeds Office and are thus a reliable indicator of the state of South Africa's residential property market.


06 Apr 2019
Author BetterBond
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